Stephen J. Puetz, Kent C. Condie. Time series analysis of mantle cycles Part I:Periodicities and correlations among seven global isotopic databases[J]. Geoscience Frontiers, 2019, 10(4): 1305-1326. DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2019.04.002
Citation: Stephen J. Puetz, Kent C. Condie. Time series analysis of mantle cycles Part I:Periodicities and correlations among seven global isotopic databases[J]. Geoscience Frontiers, 2019, 10(4): 1305-1326. DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2019.04.002

Time series analysis of mantle cycles Part I:Periodicities and correlations among seven global isotopic databases

  • In this study, seven isotopic databases are presented and analyzed to identify mantle and crustal episodes on a global scale by focusing on periodicity ranging from 70 to 200 million years (Myr). The databases are the largest, or among the largest, compiled for each type of data-with an objective of finding some samples from every region of every continent, to make each database as global as conceivably possible. The databases contain zircon Lu/Hf isotopic data, whole-rock Sm/Nd isotopic data, U/Pb detrital zircon ages, U/Pb igneous zircon ages, U/Pb non-zircon ages, whole-rock Re/Os isotopic data, and large igneous province ages. Part I of this study focuses on the periodicities of age histograms and geochemical averages developed from the seven databases, via spectral and cross-correlation analyses. Natural physical cycles often propagate in exact integer multiples of a fundamental cycle, referred to as harmonics. The tests show that harmonic geological cycles of~93.5 and~187 Myr have persisted throughout terrestrial history, and the cyclicities are statistically significant for U/Pb igneous zircon ages, U/Pb detrital zircon ages, U/Pb zircon-rim ages, large igneous province ages, mean εHf(t) for all samples, mean εHf(t) values for igneous-only samples, and relative abundance of mafic rocks. Equally important, cross-correlation analyses show these seven time-series are nearly synchronous (±7 Myr) with a model consisting of periodicities of 93.5 and 187 Myr. Additionally, the similarities between peaks in the 93.5 and 187 Myr mantle cycles and terminal ages of established and suspected superchrons provide a framework for predicting and testing superchron periodicity.
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